April 23, 2008

Our first turning point has to be in the how we manage the world’s economy.

When I was an Executive Director at the World Bank 2002-2004 I am on the record complaining that there were no significant mention of energy plans in the country assistance strategies presented to us, when in light of the tremendous energy intensive growth occurring in places like China and India, we could very well be facing 100 dollar per barrel of oil in a short time. And I do not yet understand how the International Energy Agency was not capable of mustering sufficient strength to warn the world of the upcoming imbalances with the supply and demand of oil.

For more than a decade I have been also been voicing, sometimes quite noisily, that in fact we do not have a workable regulatory framework for our financial systems, since it should be clear to anyone that our real objectives for it must reach much further than the current limited and almost silly objective that Basel has in mind, that of just avoiding defaults.

Also, from the very first moment I heard about officially empowering the credit rating agencies to do the risk measurements that determined the capital requirements of banks, I have repeatedly stated that this would just lead some participants to let down their guard and end with many investors following, sooner or later, the credit rating agencies over a precipice.

I mention these three aspects, though there are many more, like the “scandalously wasteful biofuels programmes”, in response to Martin Wolf’s “A turning point in managing the world’s economy”, April 23, in order to emphasize that the first turning point we really need to make has to do with the how we manage the world’s economy. Obviously we must break lose from the habit of blindfolding and ossifying our institutions. Perhaps we need to impose term limits on the bureaucrats too, especially since their first rule for survival seems to be…do not ask questions and do not answer what you have not been questioned.