April 16, 2007

The world needs the cleansing and energizing forces of volatility

Sir, Tim Young in his letter on “How Japan’s investment was paralyzed”, April 16, asks the very relevant question “whether the cumulative loss of output [of following a conventional low interest rate policy] is less than might have been suffered if macroeconomic policy had allowed the asset price bubble to pop rather than deflate slowly.”

I certainly believe the losses of letting a problem fizzle out are in the long run, in average, always larger than having the bang and getting on with it, and so do you, for instance when in employment policies you commend the American styled labour flexibility that allows for easier firing so that resources can be better and faster reallocated. Sir, if you can lose your job, on the dot, because it is good for the economy, what would make losing 30% of the value of your house any different? What is better, keeping the high value of your houses or allowing your kids to afford a house?

It is time the world starts to think again about the cleansing and energizing forces of volatility and remembers that the absence of tremors could just mean a bigger earthquake in the making.